Cambridge, UK-based telecommunications consultants Analysys Ltd is predicting that Asynchronous Digital Subscriber Line technology, the high speed networking over traditional telephone copper wire technology, will take off commercially in 1998. ADSL is going to be the key technology that eliminates the bottlenecked local access side of the internet, says the firm. Wide interest, a variety of hardware developers and limited commercial services, has sent the price of ADSL modems plummeting, to around $300 per unit. According to Analysys, ADSL is going to revolutionize corporate teleworking and small office home office networking, with high speed constant internet connections. The cross-competition of ISDN and ADSL from a telco’s perspective, will mean that ADSL services will initially only be sold to businesses, primarily as a replacement or alternative to T1/E1 leased lines. But internet demand will force carriers to start selling ADSL to mass market consumers, some time around year 2000 says Analysys.
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